Bicara Therapeutics Inc. (BCAX) - Dilution Analysis

Visualizing historical and potential share dilution over time

Dilution Analysis

High Risk
Significant dilution risk
Last updated: May 11, 2026

Risk Assessment Details

Potential Dilution: 27.85% of current shares
Recent Dilution: 37.89% (2 years)
Historical Dilution Factor: significant recent dilution
Outstanding Shares
61M
Potential Supply
17M
Additional shares possible
Splits
None
Past 2 years

Summary

BCAX currently has 60.7M outstanding shares. with moderate dilution risk from 16.9M authorized shares representing 27.9% potential dilution. The company has significantly diluted shareholders by 37.89% over the past 2 years, indicating aggressive capital raising.

Share Structure Timeline

Outstanding Shares
Total Supply

Historical Data Points

Date Event Outstanding Supply
May 11, 2026

10-Q filing | 60.7M shares outstanding

61M 17M
Mar 30, 2026

10-K filing | 65.5M shares outstanding

65M 17M
Nov 10, 2025

10-Q filing | 54.6M shares outstanding

55M 17M
Oct 03, 2025

S-3 filing: The company is filing an S-3 to register the offering of up to $400,000,000 in aggregate principal amount of our common stock, preferred stock, debt securities, warrants and/or units, in any combination, and also registering an offering of up to $150,000,000 shares of common stock through a sales agent.

55M 17M
Aug 12, 2025

10-Q filing | 54.5M shares outstanding

55M 17M
May 13, 2025

10-Q filing | 54.5M shares outstanding

54M 17M
Mar 27, 2025

10-K filing | 54.5M shares outstanding

55M 17M
Nov 12, 2024

10-Q filing | 54.4M shares outstanding

54M 17M
Sep 11, 2024

S-1/A filing: The company is offering 14,705,882 shares of common stock in an initial public offering, with an expected price between $16.00 and $18.00 per share, and has granted the underwriters an option to purchase an additional 2,205,882 shares.

49M 17M
Sep 06, 2024

S-1/A filing: The company is offering 11,765,000 shares of common stock in an initial public offering with an expected price range of $16.00 to $18.00 per share and has granted the underwriters an option to purchase an additional 1,764,750 shares.

46M 14M
Sep 03, 2024

S-1/A filing: The company is offering shares of its common stock in an initial public offering and has applied to list its common stock on The Nasdaq Global Market under the symbol BCAX.

320M 0
Aug 22, 2024

S-1 filing: The company is offering shares of its common stock in an initial public offering and has applied to list its common stock on The Nasdaq Global Market under the symbol BCAX.

320M 0
Weekly Research

Get Weekly Super Stonk Alerts

Never miss a squeeze opportunity. Get our weekly analysis of high short interest stocks, AI-discovered gems, and dilution warnings delivered to your inbox.

No spam Unsubscribe anytime